Trump got a small boost after the RNC, but Harris's candidacy reset the race.

538's Galen Druke and Jeanna Smialek from The New York Times talk about potential economic changes that could impact how people vote in the 2024 presidential election.

Jeanna Smialek from The New York Times discusses how Democrats and Republicans are tackling issues like taxes and more on the campaign trail.

538's Galen Druke speaks with Jeanna Smialek from The New York Times about economic sentiment data leading up to the 2024 presidential election.

The party played to its strengths on issues like abortion rights and democracy.

We simplified our model and made it more responsive to polling.

Data and research suggest they could cost Trump support.

538's Galen Druke and Geoffrey Skelley talk about how Washington state's primary results could be an indication of a shift toward Democrats in the national House vote.

The 538 team discusses the likelihood of independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. winning a contingent election, following his exit from the 2024 presidential race.

538's Galen Druke and Geoffrey Skelley discuss Vice President Kamala Harris's differences from Hillary Clinton’s 2016 campaign.

Democrats could lose a seat in the Evergreen State but make national gains.

Polls show Kennedy's supporters only slightly favor the former president.

Dive into the weeds of our new Harris-Trump model.

The crew reacts to the final night of the Democratic National Convention.

Democrats have leaned into themes of "joy" and "freedom" this week.

538 senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich speaks with three young voters from Chicago as the 2024 Democratic National Convention takes place.

Most viewers are partisans, but the events help energize the party bases.

The crew reacts to night two of the Democratic National Convention

But she still lags the party’s 2020 performance among key demographic groups.

538's Galen Druke discusses Harris' policy positions, or the lack thereof, with senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley, and whether this could be an advantage for her.

538 senior elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley talks to Galen Druke about how Kamala Harris is set to establish her own presence outside of President Joe Biden as the 2024 DNC begins.

538 senior elections analyst Nathaniel Rakich explains the role of delegates and how they're selected as the 2024 DNC kicks off in Chicago.

Gaetz faces a McCarthy-backed challenger in the Sunshine State.

538 looks at the history of political conventions in the Windy City.

538’s Nathaniel Rakich takes a look at the history of political conventions in the Windy City.

Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, discusses what questions voters consider when going to the polls.

Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, and 538's Galen Druke talk about the importance of Vice President Kamala Harris clarifying her stance on issues like immigration.

538's Galen Druke talks to Carlos Odio, co-founder of Equis Research, about a possible shift in Latino voters toward Vice President Kamala Harris.

Harris has a challenge, and an opportunity, to define her stance on the war.

Vance is one of the least popular vice-presidential picks this century.

She isn't the first to secure a presidential nomination this close to November.

538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik discuss polling around the belief that Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris may be a DEI candidate.

New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik and 538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich play another round of "Good or Bad Use of Polling?"

538's Galen Druke and Nathaniel Rakich talk with New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik about former President Donald Trump’s latest strategy to win votes.

Rep. Ilhan Omar is the latest Squad member to face a serious challenger.

Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley talks with Galen Druke about VP pick Walz’s progressive record as governor.

The 538 team reacts to Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris’s VP pick and discusses Tim Walz’s appeal in the 2024 election.

ABC News Politics Reporter Brittany Shepherd discusses the Harris-Walz campaign and its challenges.

ABC News politics reporter Brittany Shepherd discusses how a presidential debate could benefit Democratic nominee Vice President Kamala Harris.

Senior Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley talks with Galen Druke about how the latest Russian prisoner swap impacted the popularity of the current administration and Kamala Harris.

The 538 team discusses the latest polling and how the election is looking like a toss-up.

Political science professors Elizabeth Theiss-Morse and Jeff Spinner-Halev talk about sweeping claims and how they relate to civic respect.

Political science professor Jeff Spinner-Halev discusses the difference between civic respect toward a person versus their belief.

Political science professors Elizabeth Theiss-Morse and Jeff Spinner-Halev discuss with Galen Druke how political parties have sorted over time.